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2009-01-03

Model Predictions

Model St. Bonaventure Bonnies Central Arkansas Bears Spread Result
Elo 78.0% 22.0% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 71.2% 28.8% - โœ“
Margin 81.5% 18.5% -8.2 โœ“ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 75.4% 24.6% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 90.9% 9.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 66.7% 33.3% - โœ“

Actual: Central Arkansas Bears -10 (58-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hall 37 5-8 0-1 4-4 10 2 1 0 1 14 18 -
C. Matthews 28 3-7 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 1 2 7 2 -
M. Eleby 28 4-10 0-1 1-2 3 2 2 1 2 9 5 -
R. Blackburn 27 5-9 1-2 3-4 7 3 1 1 4 14 13 -
M. Thomas 23 2-7 0-0 2-3 7 1 0 0 2 6 5 -
A. Nicholson 19 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 3 2 4 5 -
D. Carter 17 1-5 0-0 4-5 5 0 0 1 2 6 5 -
M. Davenport 13 1-2 0-0 6-6 2 1 0 0 1 8 8 -
T. Benson 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 3 1 0 0 1 0 2 -

Central Arkansas Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Pouncy 35 4-11 2-3 5-6 2 2 0 0 3 15 5 -
M. Pillow 33 2-11 2-9 4-6 3 2 2 0 3 10 3 -
B. Taylor 32 1-7 1-3 0-0 2 1 2 1 3 3 -1 -
B. Marks 32 3-8 0-0 0-4 14 0 0 2 1 6 13 -
M. Rueter 24 4-8 0-1 2-3 2 1 1 0 3 10 3 -
L. Brewer 18 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 2 3 -
D. Clayborn 9 2-4 1-3 0-1 1 2 2 0 0 5 6 -
K. Cannon 6 1-2 1-1 1-2 0 0 0 0 0 4 2 -
I. Qahwash 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Silverman 5 1-2 1-2 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 1 -

* = starter