Model Predictions
| Model | Houston Cougars | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 19.3% | 80.7% | +9.7 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 38.5% | 61.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 37.3% | 62.7% | +2.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 50.1% | 49.9% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 40.4% | 59.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +17 (82-65). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Houston Cougars
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lewis | 34 | 5-20 | 0-7 | 6-10 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 3 | - |
| Q. Calhoun | 32 | 6-11 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 9 | - |
| Aubrey Coleman | 30 | 4-13 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 9 | - |
| Desmond Wade | 28 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| Marcus Cousin | 22 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 4-7 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 6 | - |
| DaShaun Williams | 21 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Zamal Nixon | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| N. Mosley | 13 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| H. McGloster | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | - |
| S. Coleman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Y. Moukoury | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Johnson | 35 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 5 | - |
| Dee Bost | 29 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 15 | - |
| B. Stewart | 24 | 2-7 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 8 | - |
| P. Turner | 22 | 6-7 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Romero Osby | 17 | 5-13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 7 | - |
| R. Benock | 17 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| Jarvis Varnado | 16 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| E. Bailey | 14 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4 | - |
| T. Beckham | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Bolen | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Bryant | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Luczak | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Gay | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter