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2009-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Lamar Cardinals Memphis Tigers Spread Result
Elo 5.9% 94.1% -
Bradley-Terry 8.7% 91.3% -
Margin 3.9% 96.1% +17.7 (15.3 off)
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -

Actual: Memphis Tigers +33 (108-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Lamar Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Dawkins 40 6-19 2-5 5-5 5 3 1 0 3 19 6 -
B. McThay 35 4-11 1-5 3-3 2 4 1 0 3 12 5 -
A. Hall 27 1-8 0-4 3-4 3 5 0 1 2 5 4 -
T. Worrell 25 3-8 0-0 5-6 7 1 0 0 1 11 10 -
J. Brown 24 3-10 1-1 0-0 10 1 0 1 2 7 7 -
S. Williams 15 1-2 1-2 3-4 1 1 1 0 3 6 4 -
C. Harper 14 5-7 0-1 1-2 3 0 0 0 2 11 5 -
C. Custer 13 2-5 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 4 3 -
A. Miles 7 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Memphis Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Evans 33 11-16 2-5 1-1 3 5 4 2 1 25 22 -
A. Anderson 32 5-11 1-3 1-2 10 13 1 1 0 12 26 -
R. Dozier 29 8-11 0-1 3-5 7 3 1 2 1 19 20 -
D. Mack 24 5-10 4-9 0-0 5 2 0 0 1 14 10 -
S. Taggart 19 5-9 0-1 5-7 4 1 0 1 1 15 11 -
R. Sallie 14 1-5 1-4 0-0 1 1 2 0 0 3 2 -
W. Witherspoon 13 1-2 0-1 1-1 2 0 1 2 1 3 5 -
P. Henderson-Niles 12 1-4 0-0 1-4 6 0 0 3 2 3 6 -
W. Kemp 9 3-5 3-5 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 9 4 -
M. Simpkins 9 1-4 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 0 2 2 1 -
P. Laird 3 1-1 1-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 2 -
C. McGrady 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 1 0 1 -

* = starter