Model Predictions
| Model | Montana State Bobcats | Montana Grizzlies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 26.0% | 74.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 25.8% | 74.2% | +5.8 | ✓ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.9% | 64.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 28.8% | 71.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 37.2% | 62.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Montana Grizzlies +14 (73-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Montana State Bobcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| W. Bynum | 37 | 5-10 | 0-0 | 4-8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 9 | - |
| B. Howard | 33 | 4-9 | 1-2 | 1-7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| D. Mbunga | 30 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 3-7 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | - |
| E. Rush | 26 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | - |
| D. Piepoli | 20 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| B. Johnson | 18 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | - |
| J. Hennessy | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Navarre | 14 | 2-7 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 3 | - |
| A. Brown | 6 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Montana Grizzlies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Johnson | 38 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 15-16 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 31 | 26 | - |
| J. Hasquet | 33 | 6-12 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 5 | - |
| K. Sharp | 32 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| R. Staudacher | 31 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| M. Taylor | 26 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 4-4 | 7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | - |
| J. McGillis | 13 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | - |
| V. Banny | 12 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| D. Selvig | 10 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7 | - |
| B. Qvale | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter