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2009-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Ohio State Buckeyes Minnesota Golden Gophers Spread Result
Elo 66.8% 33.2% -
Bradley-Terry 61.4% 38.6% -
Margin 61.5% 38.5% -2.6 (11.6 off)
Pythagorean 43.1% 56.9% -
Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 52.6% 47.4% -
Log Adjusted 52.6% 47.4% -

Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers +9 (68-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Turner 39 7-17 1-2 6-6 8 1 1 0 1 21 13 -
J. Diebler 39 5-13 5-11 0-0 4 3 5 0 3 15 11 -
D. Lauderdale 29 1-2 0-0 0-0 4 0 1 2 2 2 5 -
W. Buford 22 1-6 0-1 4-4 2 0 0 0 1 6 1 -
J. Simmons 21 1-8 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 3 -4 -
P.J. Hill 19 1-4 0-1 1-2 2 2 2 0 2 3 3 -
B. Mullens 18 2-2 0-0 1-3 5 0 0 1 2 5 7 -
K. Madsen 12 0-0 0-0 4-4 1 0 0 0 1 4 4 -
W. Offutt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Minnesota Golden Gophers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Johnson 34 5-8 0-0 2-2 6 4 4 3 0 12 21 -
C. Iverson 27 2-3 0-0 0-1 3 3 0 4 1 4 10 -
A. Nolen 22 3-8 1-4 0-0 2 3 2 0 2 7 4 -
D. Joseph 21 3-9 1-3 0-0 4 4 1 0 2 7 5 -
L. Westbrook 21 4-7 3-5 4-4 2 2 0 0 0 15 12 -
R. Sampson III 17 2-6 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 0 1 4 3 -
B. Hoffarber 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 2 3 0 -
J. Abu-Shamala 14 2-5 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
D. Bostick 13 2-3 1-2 0-0 4 2 0 0 1 5 7 -
P. Carter 10 1-5 0-0 4-4 5 1 1 0 2 6 6 -
J. Williams 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
T. Busch 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter