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2009-01-03

Model Predictions

Model Vanderbilt Commodores UMass Minutemen Spread Result
Elo 95.6% 4.4% -
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% -
Margin 71.1% 28.9% -4.9 (25.1 off)
Efficiency 38.0% 62.0% -

Actual: UMass Minutemen -30 (48-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Vanderbilt Commodores

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Beal 30 3-6 0-2 4-4 6 6 1 1 1 10 17 -
D. McClellan 26 4-7 2-3 0-0 5 3 0 1 0 10 12 -
B. Tinsley 23 3-6 3-4 0-0 3 3 3 1 2 9 11 -
A.J. Ogilvy 22 5-12 0-2 4-4 8 1 0 0 1 14 10 -
J. Taylor 20 3-7 0-1 1-3 5 1 1 0 1 7 6 -
L. Goulbourne 20 3-8 0-1 4-4 8 0 2 1 3 10 10 -
G. Drake 17 2-5 1-4 0-0 1 2 0 0 2 5 1 -
F. Ezeli 15 0-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 3 1 0 2 -
S. Tchiengang 13 3-5 2-3 1-2 4 1 0 0 0 9 9 -
C. Hinkle 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Duffy 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Meriwether 3 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
E. Cole 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -
A. Noll 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

UMass Minutemen

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Gaffney 33 1-10 0-1 2-5 7 1 3 3 1 4 7 -
A. Gurley 31 1-8 1-6 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 -4 -
R. Harris 30 3-11 0-4 6-7 1 1 1 0 1 12 3 -
C. Lowe 29 5-12 1-3 3-4 2 3 1 0 4 14 4 -
D. Gibbs 22 3-4 2-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 8 6 -
L. Bonner 18 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 0 0 -
T. Lynch 15 2-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 1 1 5 6 -
M. Glass 9 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 1 0 0 1 -
G. Correia 8 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 2 1 0 2 0 -1 -
T. Wilcher 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 2 3 -

* = starter