Model Predictions
| Model | USC Trojans | Oregon Ducks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 26.0% | 74.0% | +5.8 | ✗ (26.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 70.7% | 29.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 95.7% | 4.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 83.9% | 16.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.0% | 16.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Oregon Ducks -21 (62-83). Predictions use season-end ratings.
USC Trojans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Hackett | 38 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 3-6 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 23 | - |
| D. Lewis | 37 | 10-19 | 4-5 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 12 | - |
| D. DeRozan | 28 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 15 | - |
| K. Wilkinson | 28 | 3-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | - |
| T. Gibson | 25 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 13 | 14 | - |
| M. Johnson | 19 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3-5 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| N. Vucevic | 17 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| M. Diarra | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| D. Smith | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| P. Miller | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Dunleavy | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
Oregon Ducks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Porter | 32 | 5-12 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 4 | - |
| G. Sim | 28 | 4-8 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| M. Dunigan | 25 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| J. Catron | 24 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 2 | - |
| C. Odia | 17 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | - |
| L. Longmire | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -4 | - |
| K. Brown | 14 | 4-6 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 5 | - |
| J. Crittle | 13 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| M. Humphrey | 12 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | - |
| D. Wiley | 11 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Williams | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| N. Fearn | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| J. Elorriaga | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter