Model Predictions
| Model | Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | Lafayette Leopards | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.1% | 24.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 86.3% | 13.7% | -10.1 | ✓ (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 73.9% | 26.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 91.2% | 8.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Lafayette Leopards -5 (62-67). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Goode | 34 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 4-6 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 14 | - |
| J. Cajou | 34 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 6-6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 7 | - |
| S. Atupem | 28 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| W. Holland | 27 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 14 | - |
| S. Atupem | 27 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 3 | - |
| P. Brown | 25 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| M. Mitchell | 16 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Beidler | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
Lafayette Leopards
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Brown | 33 | 5-10 | 2-7 | 4-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 3 | - |
| M. Gruner | 31 | 3-10 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| J. Mintz | 26 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| J. Kari | 26 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Benbow | 22 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| R. Willen | 18 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Wheeler | 12 | 3-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Koltun | 10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Petkovich | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -3 | - |
| J. Mower | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| A. Orchowski | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
* = starter