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2009-01-02

Model Predictions

Model UCLA Bruins Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 76.9% 23.1% -
Bradley-Terry 57.5% 42.5% -
Margin 54.1% 45.9% -0.9 (22.1 off)
Pythagorean 80.3% 19.7% -
Efficiency 97.0% 3.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 95.8% 4.2% -
Log Adjusted 95.8% 4.2% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -23 (46-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Collison 32 7-10 2-4 0-0 3 4 3 0 1 16 15 -
J. Holiday 31 4-9 1-5 0-1 3 2 1 0 2 9 4 -
A. Aboya 27 2-6 0-0 0-2 7 1 0 0 0 4 6 -
M. Roll 26 6-7 4-4 0-0 2 1 2 1 2 16 13 -
J. Shipp 25 2-10 2-7 2-2 1 4 1 0 1 8 3 -
D. Gordon 16 4-4 0-0 3-4 4 0 0 0 1 11 10 -
J. Keefe 15 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 1 0 0 1 2 4 -
N. Dragovic 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 4 1 1 0 1 0 2 -
J. Anderson 10 1-5 0-1 1-1 0 0 1 0 0 3 -1 -
J. Morgan 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 0 -

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Claitt 32 3-3 1-1 0-1 0 2 2 0 1 7 7 -
D. Deane 30 0-6 0-4 2-4 7 0 1 2 2 2 4 -
O. Johnson 28 3-5 1-2 0-0 7 1 0 0 2 7 8 -
C. Haynes 27 6-14 1-6 3-4 3 0 2 0 2 16 5 -
S. Tarver 23 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 1 0 1 7 7 -
R. Schaftenaar 22 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 2 0 0 4 0 -3 -
L. Wallace 15 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 3 -1 -
J. Tarver 10 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -1 -
C. Hampton 10 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 1 0 0 2 2 0 -
K. McShane 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. McConnell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Sturner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter