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2009-01-02

Model Predictions

Model Santa Clara Broncos Harvard Crimson Spread Result
Elo 76.3% 23.7% -
Bradley-Terry 36.6% 63.4% -
Margin 30.0% 70.0% +4.7 (0.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.7% 59.3% -
Efficiency 5.0% 95.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 77.7% 22.3% -
Log Adjusted 77.9% 22.1% -

Actual: Harvard Crimson +5 (73-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Santa Clara Broncos

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. Petty 27 4-6 0-0 4-6 2 6 2 0 7 12 9 -
B. Dowdell 27 2-3 0-0 1-4 4 0 0 2 0 5 8 -
K. Foster 26 8-13 4-7 0-0 5 1 2 0 2 20 13 -
J. Rahon 26 1-6 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 3 -3 -
J. Bryant 24 7-11 0-0 0-0 11 1 0 5 4 14 16 -
D. White 22 1-5 0-1 2-4 4 2 0 0 1 4 4 -
M. Trasolini 19 1-2 0-0 3-4 5 1 0 0 1 5 8 -
M. Santos 13 0-1 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 0 5 -
C. Johnson 9 1-2 1-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 3 2 -
S. Thompson 4 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
T. Alexander 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Harvard Crimson

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lin 36 5-10 1-4 6-7 5 9 3 0 1 17 23 -
P. Boehm 32 3-5 3-4 4-5 2 2 0 0 1 13 11 -
D. Miller 26 7-10 0-0 1-2 3 0 1 1 0 15 10 -
O. McNally 25 2-7 1-2 0-1 3 0 0 0 0 5 1 -
D. Housman 23 4-9 2-2 6-8 3 2 1 0 1 16 12 -
A. Pusar 17 2-2 1-1 0-0 1 0 1 0 0 5 5 -
M. Kenyi 17 0-3 0-1 0-0 3 0 2 2 2 0 2 -
D. McGeary 11 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -
K. Wright 10 1-8 0-0 0-1 3 0 0 0 1 2 -4 -
P. Swiatek 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter