Model Predictions
| Model | Cal Poly Mustangs | UC Riverside Highlanders | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.1% | 68.9% | +4.4 | ✓ (29.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.1% | 82.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.6% | 85.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Riverside Highlanders +34 (91-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Cal Poly Mustangs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Lewis | 31 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 2 | - |
| T. Shelton | 29 | 5-11 | 0-0 | 7-7 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 11 | - |
| L. Keeler | 29 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 3 | - |
| W. Dipprey | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Thomas | 20 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| C. Anderson | 20 | 4-6 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 10 | - |
| J. Brown | 19 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -3 | - |
| D. Hanson | 10 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Henning | 9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Darling | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Titchenal | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Lewis | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
UC Riverside Highlanders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Austin | 28 | 9-18 | 4-7 | 2-2 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24 | 14 | - |
| S. Cunningham | 26 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | - |
| J. Borum | 26 | 7-12 | 5-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| A. Scott | 25 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 16 | - |
| K. Veteto | 22 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - |
| C. Soto | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| J. LoBue | 15 | 3-5 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| J. Diggs | 14 | 1-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Dowdy | 14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| C. Barlow | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| D. Chavarria | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter