Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 94.9% | 5.1% | -21.3 | ✓ (9.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 92.4% | 7.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.1% | 4.9% | -16.3 | ✓ (4.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.9% | 11.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.9% | 4.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -12 (67-79). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Dominguez | 32 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 6 | - |
| P. Nelson | 31 | 5-11 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 10 | - |
| Andre Murray | 29 | 5-10 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 14 | - |
| Jamie Jones | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 9 | - |
| K. Coston | 21 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Dominic Waters | 21 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Julius Thomas | 19 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Mara | 15 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 3-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 5 | - |
| Wendell Wright | 9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Polis | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Antonio Flaggs | 34 | 3-11 | 2-7 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 1 | - |
| J. Eller | 32 | 5-12 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 10 | - |
| Jared Stigall | 32 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| L. Leath | 30 | 8-15 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23 | 15 | - |
| R. Adams | 26 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| J. Malloy | 15 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| Mike Edwards | 10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| Mike Marcial | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Michael Selling | 6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| Donald Thomas | 4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Aaron Wilson | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Jerome Blockmon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter