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2009-01-01

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Illinois Fighting Illini Spread Result
Elo 33.6% 66.4% +1.7 โœ— (16.7 off)
Bradley-Terry 64.2% 35.8% - โœ“
Margin 59.0% 41.0% -2.0 โœ“ (13.0 off)
Pythagorean 67.9% 32.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 80.1% 19.9% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 80.3% 19.7% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“

Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -15 (38-53). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Mariah Dunham 0 1-3 0-0 2-4 9 1 0 0 0 4 11 -
Lin Zastrow 0 1-3 1-1 6-6 5 2 1 2 2 9 14 -
Alyssa Karel 0 4-10 2-5 3-4 3 1 0 1 1 13 7 -
Teah Gant 0 2-3 1-1 2-4 1 3 1 0 3 7 6 -
R. D'Alie 0 3-8 2-5 0-0 5 2 0 0 2 8 5 -

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lacey Simpson 0 4-10 0-0 0-2 7 1 1 2 1 8 8 -
Chelsea Gordon 0 0-3 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 1 2 0 1 -
Jenna Smith 0 6-16 0-0 9-9 7 0 0 2 1 21 13 -
Lydia McCully 0 1-4 0-1 0-1 2 4 2 0 3 2 3 -
Fabiola Josil 0 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter