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Louisville Cardinals 73
@
North Carolina Tar Heels 83
2008-03-29

Model Predictions

Model Louisville Cardinals North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 31.3% 68.7% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.8% 56.2% - ✓
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 ✓ (7.7 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - ✓
Efficiency 28.1% 71.9% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 37.4% 62.6% - ✓
Log Adjusted 37.3% 62.7% - ✓

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +10 (83-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 1 4 14 19 -
D. Padgett * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 6 2 2 3 6 21 -
J. Smith * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 17 19 -
A. McGee * 25 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 3 0 0 4 9 -
J. Palacios * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 0 -1 -
E. Clark 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 1 7 12 16 -
E. Sosa 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 12 13 -
P. Knowles 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 6 7 -
D. Caracter 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 2 4 -
T. Farley 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 13 1 2 0 5 28 39 -
W. Ellington * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 2 13 17 -
M. Ginyard * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 0 6 17 -
T. Lawson * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 9 1 0 4 11 19 -
D. Thompson * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 10 13 -
D. Green 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 2 0 1 11 15 -
Q. Thomas 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 1 0 1 -
A. Stepheson 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 4 4 -

* = starter