Model Predictions
| Model | Boise State Broncos | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 27.6% | 72.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 16.6% | 83.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (3.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 34.4% | 65.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 7.8% | 92.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals +18 (79-61). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Boise State Broncos
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Larry * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 22 | - |
| T. Tiedeman * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 12 | - |
| M. Nelson * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| M. Bauscher * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| A. Thomas | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 14 | - |
| J. Greene | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | - |
| P. Noonan | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| K. Cunningham | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| A. Garner | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Sanchez | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Smith * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 18 | - |
| A. McGee * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| D. Padgett * | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 11 | - |
| J. Palacios * | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 18 | - |
| T. Williams | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 24 | - |
| E. Clark | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 21 | - |
| E. Sosa | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| D. Caracter | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 10 | - |
| P. Knowles | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | - |
* = starter