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2008-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Washington State Cougars North Carolina Tar Heels Spread Result
Elo 25.6% 74.4% -
Bradley-Terry 16.9% 83.1% -
Margin 9.1% 90.9% +12.6 (8.4 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% -
Efficiency 34.4% 65.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 18.2% 81.8% -
Log Adjusted 18.0% 82.0% -

Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +21 (68-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Washington State Cougars

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Rochestie * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 2 6 -
K. Weaver * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 5 1 3 4 10 22 -
D. Low * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 14 13 -
R. Cowgill * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 0 2 11 -
A. Baynes * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 1 14 23 -
D. Harmeling 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 3 5 -
C. Forrest 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 2 0 0 2 -
N. Koprivica 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 1 0 1 -
C. Henry 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 2 -
J. Cross 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

North Carolina Tar Heels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Hansbrough * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 1 1 3 18 27 -
W. Ellington * 31 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 1 0 3 13 19 -
M. Ginyard * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 4 0 0 0 0 6 -
T. Lawson * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 0 2 12 15 -
D. Thompson * 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 0 3 6 12 -
D. Green 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 3 1 2 15 23 -
A. Stepheson 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 0 3 0 4 12 -
Q. Thomas 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 4 0 0 0 0 4 -
S. Wood 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Wooten 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Copeland 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
W. Graves 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Campbell 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
P. Moody 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J.B. Tanner 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter