Model Predictions
| Model | Arkansas Razorbacks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.8% | 60.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.4% | 70.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 19.3% | 80.7% | +7.9 | ✓ (23.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.1% | 88.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 6.5% | 93.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +31 (108-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Arkansas Razorbacks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Weems * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 20 | - |
| P. Beverley * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 20 | - |
| G. Ervin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 17 | - |
| D. Townes * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 15 | 25 | - |
| V. Hunter * | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| C. Thomas | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 11 | - |
| S. Hill | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Washington | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Britt | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| S. Welsh | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| N. Rakestraw | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Patsatsia | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| S. Cox | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 28 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 10 | - |
| W. Ellington * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 24 | - |
| T. Lawson * | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 30 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 21 | - |
| D. Green | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 17 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 12 | - |
| W. Graves | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| S. Wood | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| P. Moody | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Wooten | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter