Model Predictions
| Model | Murray State Racers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.1% | 87.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 6.4% | 93.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.2% | 99.8% | +35.4 | ✓ (14.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.7% | 71.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +21 (78-57). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Hayes | 0 | 8-20 | 6-12 | 4-4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 13 | - |
| A. Guffey | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| A. Brown | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. Petty | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| A. Lee | 0 | 1-11 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Cheek | 0 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 10 | - |
| J. Thomas | 0 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 3-4 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 21 | - |
| C. Black | 0 | 7-14 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 10 | - |
| A. Waner | 0 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - |
| W. Smith | 0 | 7-14 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 4 | - |
* = starter