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2008-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Baylor Bears Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 15.8% 84.2% -
Bradley-Terry 51.0% 49.0% -
Margin 53.4% 46.6% -0.7 (11.7 off)
Pythagorean 35.2% 64.8% -
Efficiency 11.6% 88.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.8% 85.2% -
Log Adjusted 14.7% 85.3% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers +11 (90-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Baylor Bears

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Jerrells * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 8 2 0 3 27 36 -
H. Dugat * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 1 0 1 13 19 -
T. Carter * 29 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 0 1 8 13 -
K. Rogers * 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 2 0 1 9 17 -
M. Shepherd * 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 5 9 -
L. Dunn 26 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 1 2 0 2 15 19 -
M. Diene 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 0 0 0 2 9 -
A. Bruce 11 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -2 -
D. Simpson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 1 1 0 3 -
J. Lomers 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
E. Moore * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 4 0 0 3 16 25 -
K. Grant * 34 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 2 3 1 3 17 24 -
C. Kramer * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 3 1 2 10 19 -
R. Hummel * 17 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 9 12 -
N. Calasan * 13 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 0 1 8 11 -
S. Martin 23 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 2 0 2 1 9 17 -
J. Johnson 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 0 0 2 0 10 20 -
T. Crump 19 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 3 0 0 2 11 15 -
M. Green 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter