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2008-03-27

Model Predictions

Model Western Kentucky Hilltoppers UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 20.6% 79.4% - โœ“
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 โœ“ (4.5 off)
Pythagorean 44.8% 55.2% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 3.0% 97.0% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 2.7% 97.3% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 23.6% 76.4% - โœ“

Actual: UCLA Bruins +10 (88-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Lee * 37 7-29 2-8 2-3 8 1 4 3 3 18 2 -
T. Brazelton * 34 10-21 6-10 5-7 3 5 2 0 6 31 14 -
T. Rogers * 28 2-6 0-2 1-1 3 1 1 0 0 5 4 -
J. Evans * 17 2-3 0-0 0-1 6 1 0 1 1 4 8 -
B. Siakam 28 1-4 0-0 5-6 7 0 1 0 0 7 11 -
A.J. Slaughter 18 1-4 1-3 4-6 1 3 2 0 0 7 9 -
O. Mendez-Valdez 14 0-1 0-1 2-2 2 1 0 0 0 2 4 -
S. Pettigrew 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Howard 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B.J. Frazier 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
M. Maresca 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Gabou 1 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Love * 38 10-14 0-2 9-12 14 4 0 4 3 29 34 -
L. Mbah a Moute * 36 2-4 0-0 3-4 7 4 1 0 4 7 11 -
J. Shipp * 33 5-9 2-3 2-4 3 1 0 0 2 14 7 -
R. Westbrook * 32 3-15 1-2 7-8 11 5 1 0 5 14 11 -
D. Collison * 28 1-6 1-2 1-2 2 1 3 0 4 4 0 -
J. Keefe 26 7-9 0-0 4-5 12 2 0 4 1 18 26 -
A. Aboya 5 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 2 -
L. Mata-Real 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter