Model Predictions
| Model | Kansas Jayhawks | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.4% | 98.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 0.0% | 100.0% | +71.3 | ✗ (89.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.8% | 50.2% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 72.4% | 27.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 69.6% | 30.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.7% | 30.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels -18 (66-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Kansas Jayhawks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Arthur * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 18 | - |
| B. Rush * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 32 | - |
| M. Chalmers * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 19 | - |
| R. Robinson * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | - |
| D. Jackson * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 20 | - |
| S. Collins | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 11 | 13 | - |
| C. Aldrich | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 18 | - |
| S. Kaun | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| J. Case | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 26 | - |
| W. Ellington * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 18 | 25 | - |
| M. Ginyard * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | - |
| T. Lawson * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 12 | - |
| D. Thompson * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 10 | - |
| D. Green | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 17 | - |
| Q. Thomas | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| A. Stepheson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| W. Graves | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Copeland | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter