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2008-03-28

Model Predictions

Model Stanford Cardinal Texas Longhorns Spread Result
Elo 32.0% 68.0% -
Bradley-Terry 32.2% 67.8% -
Margin 22.2% 77.8% +6.9 (13.1 off)
Pythagorean 45.4% 54.6% -
Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Adjusted Efficiency 24.3% 75.7% -
Log Adjusted 24.1% 75.9% -

Actual: Texas Longhorns +20 (82-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Stanford Cardinal

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Johnson * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 8 1 0 3 6 17 -
B. Lopez * 33 0-0 0-0 0-0 10 0 1 2 3 26 36 -
F. Washington * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 1 0 0 1 1 8 -
A. Goods * 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 1 0 3 -
R. Lopez * 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 0 0 6 12 -
T. Finger 22 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 4 11 -
L. Hill 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 1 0 5 7 -
L. Fields 14 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 1 1 11 13 -
K. Brown 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 3 5 -
P. Prowitt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
D. Shiller 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
J. Owens 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Texas Longhorns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D.J. Augustin * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 7 2 0 2 23 35 -
J. Mason * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 6 1 1 2 7 21 -
A.J. Abrams * 36 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 1 0 0 12 18 -
C. Atchley * 28 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 2 10 15 -
D. James * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 1 2 0 0 18 25 -
G. Johnson 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 1 3 -
D. Pittman 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 0 4 12 -
C. Chapman 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 4 7 -
A. Wangmene 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
J.D. Lewis 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
I. Mooney 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
H. Smith 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 3 3 -

* = starter