Model Predictions
| Model | Louisville Cardinals | North Carolina Tar Heels | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 70.9% | 29.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.4% | 32.6% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 63.1% | 36.9% | -2.9 | ✗ (6.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.5% | 51.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: North Carolina Tar Heels +4 (78-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Bingham | 0 | 7-21 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 20 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 21 | - |
| A. McCoughtry | 0 | 14-31 | 3-10 | 4-8 | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 21 | - |
| C. Wright | 0 | 6-10 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| B. Radde | 0 | 3-9 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 2 | - |
| P. Barlow | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 11 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | - |
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Mccants | 0 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| C. DeGraffenreid | 0 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 6-11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 8 | - |
| H. Claytor | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - |
| L. Sanders | 0 | 8-13 | 0-0 | 11-19 | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 27 | 27 | - |
| E. Larkins | 0 | 2-12 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
* = starter