Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.0% | 23.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 62.2% | 37.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 68.9% | 31.1% | -4.4 | ✗ (22.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 39.4% | 60.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 11.0% | 89.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 14.2% | 85.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +18 (92-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Morgan * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 18 | - |
| G. Suton * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 23 | 30 | - |
| D. Neitzel * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 12 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | - |
| K. Lucas * | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| T. Walton | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Summers | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| I. Ibok | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Gray | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Anderson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 22 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 25 | 32 | - |
| J. Dorsey * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 15 | - |
| D. Rose * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27 | 35 | - |
| R. Dozier * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 21 | - |
| S. Taggart | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 10 | - |
| W. Kemp | 16 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| A. Allen | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Mack | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Henderson-Niles | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter