Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.2% | 31.8% | -4.2 | ✓ (6.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.3% | 48.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 47.5% | 52.5% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 59.4% | 40.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -11 (54-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Neitzel * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 26 | - |
| G. Suton * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 27 | - |
| K. Lucas * | 27 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 20 | - |
| D. Naymick * | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | - |
| R. Morgan * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Walton | 23 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | - |
| I. Ibok | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| D. Summers | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Gray | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Fields * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 23 | - |
| S. Young * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| R. Ramon * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | - |
| D. Blair * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 22 | - |
| K. Benjamin * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| G. Brown | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| T. Biggs | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter