Model Predictions
| Model | Mississippi State Bulldogs | Memphis Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 44.0% | 56.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 49.4% | 50.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 48.3% | 51.7% | +0.4 | ✓ (2.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 41.1% | 58.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Memphis Tigers +3 (77-74). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Mississippi State Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gordon * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 34 | - |
| B. Stewart * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | - |
| B. Hansbrough * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19 | 21 | - |
| C. Rhodes * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 24 | - |
| J. Varnado * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | 17 | - |
| R. Johnson | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 6 | - |
| P. Turner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Memphis Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Rose * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 34 | - |
| A. Anderson * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | - |
| J. Dorsey * | 33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 13 | 31 | - |
| C. Douglas-Roberts * | 30 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 25 | - |
| R. Dozier * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 16 | - |
| S. Taggart | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9 | - |
| W. Kemp | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 14 | - |
| A. Allen | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Mack | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
* = starter