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2008-03-21

Model Predictions

Model Oregon Ducks Mississippi State Bulldogs Spread Result
Elo 23.2% 76.8% -
Bradley-Terry 45.5% 54.5% -
Margin 37.3% 62.7% +2.9 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 38.4% 61.6% -
Efficiency 71.2% 28.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 25.0% 75.0% -
Log Adjusted 24.5% 75.5% -

Actual: Mississippi State Bulldogs +7 (76-69). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Oregon Ducks

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Porter * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 5 1 0 3 18 25 -
B. Taylor * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 5 1 0 1 1 9 15 -
M. Hairston * 35 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 3 22 27 -
M. Leunen * 27 0-0 0-0 0-0 7 2 2 0 1 13 23 -
J. Catron * 18 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 2 0 1 0 3 9 -
C. Odia 21 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 2 6 -
L. Longmire 15 0-0 0-0 0-0 3 0 1 0 1 2 5 -
M. Platt 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
K. Brown 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 1 -

Mississippi State Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Gordon * 39 0-0 0-0 0-0 11 9 0 1 6 8 23 -
B. Stewart * 38 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 1 16 20 -
C. Rhodes * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 9 1 0 0 0 34 44 -
B. Hansbrough * 37 0-0 0-0 0-0 4 3 4 1 4 5 13 -
J. Varnado * 32 0-0 0-0 0-0 8 1 0 4 0 11 24 -
R. Johnson 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
P. Turner 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

* = starter