Model Predictions
| Model | Davidson Wildcats | Gonzaga Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 64.3% | 35.7% | -5.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 56.0% | 44.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 40.1% | 59.9% | +2.2 | ✗ (8.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.3% | 52.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 44.4% | 55.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 43.9% | 56.1% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Gonzaga Bulldogs -6 (76-82). Ratings: 2007-08 season-end ratings.
Davidson Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephen Curry * | 39 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 40 | 48 | - |
| J. Richards * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 26 | - |
| M. Paulhus Gosselin * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 11 | - |
| A. Lovedale * | 29 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 28 | - |
| T. Sander * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | - |
| B. Meno | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -2 | - |
| W. Archambault | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | - |
| S. Rossiter | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Barr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Pargo * | 38 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 18 | 26 | - |
| Steven Gray * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 22 | - |
| Matt Bouldin * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 8 | 15 | - |
| D. Pendergraft * | 17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Robert Sacre * | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Josh Heytvelt | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 21 | - |
| Austin Daye | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 14 | - |
| A. Kuso | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | - |
| L. Gurganious | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Micah Downs | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| A. Sorenson | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| I. Brown | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter