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2008-03-20

Model Predictions

Model Kansas State Wildcats USC Trojans Spread Result
Elo 11.3% 88.7% -
Bradley-Terry 48.2% 51.8% -
Margin 39.8% 60.2% +2.3 (15.3 off)
Pythagorean 40.8% 59.2% -
Efficiency 64.2% 35.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 39.3% 60.7% -
Log Adjusted 39.6% 60.4% -

Actual: USC Trojans -13 (67-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Kansas State Wildcats

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Stewart * 32 2-6 2-5 0-0 3 3 2 0 3 6 5 -
H. Walker * 30 7-12 3-4 5-5 5 2 0 0 3 22 14 -
M. Beasley * 29 7-12 1-1 8-10 11 2 0 1 2 23 23 -
B. Young * 22 0-4 0-2 0-2 7 2 1 0 0 0 6 -
D. Sutton * 17 2-4 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 1 6 4 -
J. Pullen 25 5-10 0-2 1-3 1 5 1 0 3 11 5 -
R. Anderson Jr. 21 5-7 0-0 0-2 8 0 2 0 0 10 13 -
D. Kent 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
F. Brown 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 1 -
L. Colon 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

USC Trojans

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Hackett * 40 2-6 1-2 4-4 6 2 1 0 3 9 9 -
O.J. Mayo * 40 6-16 2-4 6-7 2 5 1 0 3 20 9 -
D. Lewis * 32 3-10 2-5 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 8 0 -
D. Jefferson * 29 7-9 0-0 1-4 6 1 1 1 1 15 14 -
T. Gibson * 28 1-5 0-0 8-12 9 1 1 3 1 10 18 -
K. Wilkinson 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 1 0 0 2 4 -
M. Simmons 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter