Model Predictions
| Model | Siena Saints | Villanova Wildcats | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 37.0% | 63.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 37.6% | 62.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.4% | 82.6% | +8.6 | ✓ (3.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.9% | 50.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.3% | 78.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.8% | 79.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 34.3% | 65.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Villanova Wildcats +12 (84-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Siena Saints
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Franklin * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 22 | - |
| E. Ubiles * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 12 | 24 | - |
| K. Hasbrouck * | 28 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| R. Moore * | 26 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 6 | - |
| T. Fisher | 15 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| R. Rossiter | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C. Magee | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Carr | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Villanova Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Reynolds * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 37 | - |
| C. Stokes * | 34 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 21 | - |
| D. Cunningham * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| D. Anderson * | 22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | - |
| A. Pena * | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 8 | - |
| R. Redding | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 10 | - |
| S. Clark | 18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | - |
| C. Fisher | 14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | - |
| C. Drummond | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| F. Tchuisi | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter