Model Predictions
| Model | North Carolina Tar Heels | Nevada Wolf Pack | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 63.3% | 36.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 78.8% | 21.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.2% | 14.8% | -9.6 | ✓ (13.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 95.5% | 4.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Nevada Wolf Pack -23 (61-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
North Carolina Tar Heels
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Hansbrough | 30 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 8-10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 11 | - |
| T. Lawson | 28 | 4-7 | 0-2 | 3-7 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| D. Green | 26 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 8 | - |
| W. Ellington | 25 | 5-11 | 2-5 | 3-4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 9 | - |
| D. Thompson | 20 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| E. Davis | 18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Frasor | 14 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| M. Ginyard | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -1 | - |
| L. Drew II | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| W. Graves | 9 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | - |
| M. Copeland | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| J. Watts | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| J. Wooten | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J.B. Tanner | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. Campbell | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| P. Moody | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Babbitt | 34 | 8-14 | 1-2 | 5-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 12 | - |
| A. Johnson | 32 | 6-17 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 15 | -1 | - |
| D. Hunt | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 12 | - |
| M. Cooke | 24 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 3-6 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 16 | - |
| L. Burleson | 24 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| B. Fields | 21 | 2-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -2 | - |
| J. Shaw | 20 | 0-7 | 0-4 | 3-4 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | - |
| A. Phillips | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Phillips | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| L. Giles | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Kraemer | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Carp | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter