Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.8% | 84.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 26.8% | 73.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.6% | 84.4% | +9.3 | ✓ (20.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 37.1% | 62.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.9% | 79.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.3% | 69.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +30 (80-50). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Ely | 36 | 5-14 | 0-2 | 9-10 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 19 | 5 | - |
| K. Williams | 29 | 3-8 | 1-1 | 1-3 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8 | 13 | - |
| J. Holsinger | 27 | 4-10 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | -3 | - |
| K. Lacey | 26 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Holmes | 19 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | - |
| J. Haarsma | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Z. House | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| N. Garner | 11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| C.J. Erickson | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| P. van Tongeren | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Hopf | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Granger | 3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
| T. Gregory | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| O. Eldridge | 32 | 7-12 | 4-7 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 17 | - |
| L. Phillips | 31 | 3-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. Oguchi | 30 | 6-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 10 | - |
| E. Holloway | 26 | 4-11 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | - |
| D. Odiakosa | 22 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 14 | - |
| S. Odzic | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| B. Sampay | 16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| A. Rubin | 15 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | - |
| K. Thornton | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| B. Holtz | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| L. Shipley | 2 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| J. Robinson | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter