Model Predictions
| Model | Missouri State Bears | Drake Bulldogs | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 33.0% | 67.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.1% | 68.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 23.8% | 76.2% | +6.4 | ✓ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.3% | 63.7% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.1% | 63.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Drake Bulldogs +18 (67-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Missouri State Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Weems | 36 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 3-6 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| J. Fuehrmeyer | 29 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 10 | - |
| S. Laurie | 26 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | - |
| C. McFarland | 26 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | -2 | - |
| W. Knapp | 25 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| W. Creekmore | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 7 | - |
| S. Laurie | 21 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| R. Jehle | 16 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Young | 36 | 5-15 | 1-5 | 5-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 4 | - |
| Josiah Cox | 34 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 3-6 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 27 | - |
| C. Stanley | 28 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| J. Parker | 24 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 5-6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | 7 | - |
| A. Templeton | 20 | 2-4 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| B. Heemskerk | 16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | - |
| B. Eaddy | 12 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Hall | 11 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-5 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | - |
| J. Baryenbruch | 11 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| A. White | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | - |
| T. Dirks | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| K. Avery | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter