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2008-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Iowa Hawkeyes Ohio State Buckeyes Spread Result
Elo 13.7% 86.3% +12.6 โœ“ (9.6 off)
Bradley-Terry 21.5% 78.5% - โœ“
Margin 17.5% 82.5% +8.5 โœ“ (5.5 off)
Pythagorean 39.9% 60.1% - โœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 18.7% 81.3% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 18.4% 81.6% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 32.0% 68.0% - โœ“

Actual: Ohio State Buckeyes +3 (68-65). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Iowa Hawkeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Matt Gatens * 36 8-12 4-7 2-2 5 1 2 0 0 22 18 -
Jake Kelly * 33 4-8 3-7 0-1 2 2 0 0 6 11 1 -
Jeff Peterson * 33 3-6 1-3 2-2 2 8 0 0 2 9 11 -
Jermain Davis * 27 1-4 1-3 0-0 3 4 0 0 2 3 4 -
Cyrus Tate * 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 3 2 0 -
Devan Bawinkel 25 5-8 5-8 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 15 9 -
Jarryd Cole 19 1-3 0-0 1-2 1 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
Andrew Brommer 10 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Aaron Fuller 5 0-2 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Anthony Tucker 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Ohio State Buckeyes

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jon Diebler * 40 8-12 7-10 4-8 5 3 3 0 3 27 23 -
Evan Turner * 39 4-12 0-0 3-6 5 1 0 0 0 11 5 -
William Buford * 36 6-11 1-2 3-3 5 1 1 0 2 16 10 -
Jeremie Simmons * 27 2-4 1-3 1-1 1 3 3 0 0 6 9 -
Dallas Lauderdale * 26 2-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 0 1 1 4 5 -
Byron Mullens 15 1-2 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 4 0 -
P.J. Hill 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 4 0 1 1 0 5 -
Kyle Madsen 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
Walter Offutt 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter