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2008-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Georgetown Hoyas NC State Wolfpack Spread Result
Elo 46.9% 53.1% - โœ“
Bradley-Terry 59.4% 40.6% - โœ—
Margin 40.5% 59.5% +2.1 โœ“ (0.9 off)
Pythagorean 51.0% 49.0% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.6% 51.4% - โœ“
Log Adjusted 47.9% 52.1% - โœ“
Points Off/Def 45.9% 54.1% - โœ“

Actual: NC State Wolfpack +3 (61-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Georgetown Hoyas

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Hatton 0 3-4 0-0 2-2 3 1 1 1 1 8 9 -
M. McNutt 0 1-6 1-4 0-0 1 0 2 0 2 3 -2 -
D. Gouard 0 4-9 1-1 4-7 5 3 1 0 6 13 7 -
L. Magee 0 0-2 0-1 2-2 1 1 2 0 0 2 4 -
A. Crawford 0 1-7 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 1 2 2 -

NC State Wolfpack

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Ellison 0 0-3 0-0 1-6 7 1 0 0 0 1 6 -
S. Beal 0 9-13 0-0 5-5 3 1 5 0 5 23 14 -
N. Gartrell 0 3-8 0-1 2-6 8 3 2 0 3 8 10 -
S. Fields 0 4-11 0-4 5-7 3 2 3 0 4 13 6 -
I. Muciniece 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 6 0 0 2 4 0 3 -

* = starter