Model Predictions
| Model | Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 2.6% | 97.4% | +25.3 | ✓ (15.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 5.7% | 94.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 0.8% | 99.2% | +26.7 | ✓ (14.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 23.9% | 76.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 9.1% | 90.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +41 (92-51). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Rudolph | 34 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 7 | - |
| J. Barney | 25 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 8 | 5 | - |
| M. Sullivan | 25 | 1-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2 | - |
| I. Reid | 22 | 4-8 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 2 | - |
| A. Winbush | 22 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | - |
| B. Harvey | 19 | 0-7 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -3 | - |
| Jawaan Wright | 13 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Ficke | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Tony Lewis | 12 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| J. Hall | 8 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| B. Farrell | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| G. Kelly | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| J. Wiegand | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gerald Henderson | 28 | 8-12 | 1-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 19 | 11 | - |
| Jon Scheyer | 27 | 3-7 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 13 | - |
| Kyle Singler | 24 | 8-14 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 22 | - |
| G. Paulus | 23 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 5 | - |
| David McClure | 18 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 12 | - |
| B. Zoubek | 17 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 16 | - |
| Elliot Williams | 15 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | - |
| Lance Thomas | 14 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Martynas Pocius | 13 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Miles Plumlee | 10 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Nolan Smith | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Olek Czyz | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
* = starter