Model Predictions
| Model | Michigan State Spartans | Minnesota Golden Gophers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 87.0% | 13.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.3% | 38.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 63.6% | 36.4% | -3.1 | ✓ (8.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.0% | 54.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 81.8% | 18.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 67.8% | 32.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Minnesota Golden Gophers -12 (58-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Michigan State Spartans
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lucas | 36 | 9-18 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 11 | - |
| G. Suton | 32 | 5-9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 15 | - |
| R. Morgan | 30 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 10 | 10 | - |
| T. Walton | 24 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | - |
| C. Allen | 21 | 4-10 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 7 | - |
| D. Summers | 18 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| I. Ibok | 11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | - |
| D. Green | 8 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Gray | 7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Roe | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Lucious | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
| I. Dahlman | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Minnesota Golden Gophers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Nolen | 33 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 14 | 16 | - |
| B. Hoffarber | 27 | 3-8 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | - |
| D. Johnson | 27 | 0-4 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | - |
| L. Westbrook | 26 | 5-12 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | -2 | - |
| T. Busch | 17 | 4-7 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 2 | - |
| C. Iverson | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Joseph | 14 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 3 | - |
| J. Williams | 11 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Sampson III | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| P. Carter | 8 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| J. Abu-Shamala | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| D. Bostick | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter