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2008-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Wisconsin Badgers Michigan Wolverines Spread Result
Elo 35.8% 64.2% -
Bradley-Terry 35.1% 64.9% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (18.3 off)
Pythagorean 51.1% 48.9% -
Efficiency 66.9% 33.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 53.5% 46.5% -
Log Adjusted 53.4% 46.6% -

Actual: Michigan Wolverines -12 (61-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Wisconsin Badgers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Krabbenhoft 34 2-4 1-1 4-4 8 2 0 1 2 9 14 -
T. Hughes 34 5-12 3-5 3-4 3 3 3 0 0 16 13 -
J. Bohannon 33 3-6 0-2 1-3 3 3 0 0 1 7 6 -
J. Leuer 24 5-6 1-2 1-2 5 2 0 0 2 12 11 -
M. Landry 23 7-10 1-2 1-1 1 0 0 0 2 16 5 -
T. Jarmusz 21 1-2 0-1 0-0 5 3 0 0 0 2 8 -
K. Nankivil 11 1-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
R. Wilson 7 2-3 0-1 3-3 0 0 0 0 1 7 3 -
J. Taylor 7 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
K. Gullikson 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 0 3 -

Michigan Wolverines

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Z. Novak 33 7-11 5-8 1-2 8 0 0 0 1 20 16 -
M. Harris 33 3-13 0-2 3-4 6 3 0 0 3 9 2 -
L. Lucas-Perry 30 2-8 1-6 6-8 5 2 0 0 0 11 10 -
D. Sims 29 5-6 1-1 3-4 4 1 1 1 0 14 15 -
S. Douglass 20 0-5 0-3 0-0 0 2 1 0 1 0 -3 -
C.J. Lee 15 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 3 2 -
Z. Gibson 14 1-2 0-1 0-1 1 0 0 1 1 2 1 -
K. Grady 11 0-2 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Merritt 11 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 2 1 -
J. Shepherd 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter