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2008-12-31

Model Predictions

Model UNLV Rebels Louisville Cardinals Spread Result
Elo 14.9% 85.1% -
Bradley-Terry 16.0% 84.0% -
Margin 6.7% 93.3% +14.5 (15.5 off)
Pythagorean 45.2% 54.8% -
Efficiency 5.5% 94.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 14.0% 86.0% -
Log Adjusted 13.7% 86.3% -

Actual: Louisville Cardinals -1 (55-56). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UNLV Rebels

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Rougeau 37 8-9 0-0 1-2 7 4 0 3 0 17 22 -
O. Bellfield 36 3-8 1-4 1-2 2 4 1 0 6 8 1 -
J. Darger 30 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
M. Rutledge 24 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 0 0 0 0 3 3 -
K. Wallace 21 1-4 1-2 1-2 4 0 0 0 1 4 3 -
T. Willis 21 3-7 3-4 7-8 5 1 0 0 4 16 11 -
D. Santee 13 0-2 0-0 1-2 1 1 1 1 1 1 2 -
B. Massamba 10 1-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 2 -1 -
D. Mitchell 8 1-4 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -

Louisville Cardinals

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Williams 40 2-15 0-3 5-8 8 5 5 0 0 9 12 -
E. Clark 39 4-11 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 1 3 10 5 -
S. Samuels 36 2-6 0-0 6-8 7 1 1 2 1 10 14 -
A. McGee 25 3-6 3-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 9 7 -
P. Knowles 24 4-10 3-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 11 0 -
J. Smith 19 0-3 0-2 4-4 7 0 2 0 0 4 10 -
E. Sosa 13 1-3 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 4 2 -4 -
G. Goode 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 0 2 -
J. Swopshire 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter