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2008-12-31

Model Predictions

Model Northern Iowa Panthers Southern Illinois Salukis Spread Result
Elo 56.5% 43.5% -
Bradley-Terry 62.3% 37.7% -
Margin 59.6% 40.4% -2.1 (5.9 off)
Pythagorean 79.5% 20.5% -
Efficiency 76.7% 23.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 88.4% 11.6% -
Log Adjusted 88.5% 11.5% -

Actual: Southern Illinois Salukis -8 (51-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Northern Iowa Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Moran 30 4-5 2-3 1-2 3 0 1 0 2 11 8 -
K. Ahelegbe 29 2-3 0-0 4-6 1 2 1 0 6 8 3 -
J. Eglseder 25 3-9 0-0 0-0 10 3 0 2 0 6 12 -
K. Dunham 25 3-5 3-3 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 11 8 -
A. Koch 24 2-4 0-2 6-9 4 3 2 0 2 10 13 -
L. O'Rear 22 1-4 0-0 0-0 3 4 1 1 2 2 5 -
A. Farokhmanesh 21 1-3 1-3 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 3 4 -
T. Brown 15 3-6 0-1 2-2 2 0 0 0 0 8 4 -
A. Rodenberg 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 1 0 1 -

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
B. Mullins 34 3-10 1-4 1-1 5 4 1 0 2 8 6 -
K. Dillard 34 6-14 2-6 2-2 1 5 0 0 4 16 4 -
C. Fay 29 5-8 2-2 0-1 4 2 0 0 2 12 8 -
T. Boyle 28 1-5 0-0 4-4 6 0 1 1 2 6 7 -
W. Clemmons 16 1-5 0-2 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 -1 -
R. Hare 16 1-3 1-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 2 3 2 -
N. Evans 14 1-3 0-0 0-0 4 0 0 2 0 2 5 -
J. Bocot 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 2 0 2 0 0 2 4 -
A. Booker 9 0-4 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 -3 -
T. Roundtree 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter