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2008-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Illinois Fighting Illini Purdue Boilermakers Spread Result
Elo 29.6% 70.4% -
Bradley-Terry 28.7% 71.3% -
Margin 18.9% 81.1% +8.0 (12.0 off)
Pythagorean 46.9% 53.1% -
Efficiency 12.9% 87.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 40.6% 59.4% -
Log Adjusted 40.7% 59.3% -

Actual: Purdue Boilermakers -4 (67-71). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Illinois Fighting Illini

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Frazier 41 1-3 0-1 0-0 7 7 0 1 1 2 13 -
T. Meacham 37 4-7 0-1 3-3 3 6 0 0 0 11 13 -
M. Davis 36 6-13 0-0 0-0 6 2 1 2 1 12 9 -
M. Tisdale 30 8-16 0-0 2-2 6 1 0 1 1 18 9 -
D. McCamey 27 3-11 0-2 4-7 1 3 1 0 0 10 4 -
A. Legion 25 5-12 1-5 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 12 7 -
C. Brock 18 3-5 0-0 0-0 7 0 1 0 2 6 7 -
D. Keller 8 0-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 0 0 0 0 1 -
R. Semrau 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -

Purdue Boilermakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
R. Hummel 39 3-7 1-3 0-0 11 2 1 1 2 7 13 -
E. Moore 37 7-15 1-4 2-4 2 1 1 0 2 17 4 -
J. Johnson 36 4-11 0-0 8-10 15 1 0 3 1 16 23 -
L. Jackson 35 4-8 1-2 2-2 4 4 1 0 2 11 10 -
K. Grant 30 3-13 0-3 2-5 6 0 0 0 2 8 -1 -
C. Kramer 17 1-1 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 0 0 2 6 -
M. Green 13 1-4 0-1 0-2 1 1 0 1 2 2 -1 -
B. Riddell 12 1-2 1-2 1-2 2 2 0 0 0 4 6 -
N. Calasan 6 0-2 0-1 0-2 0 1 0 0 1 0 -2 -

* = starter