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2008-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Samford Bulldogs McNeese Cowboys Spread Result
Elo 57.9% 42.1% -2.8 โœ“ (2.2 off)
Bradley-Terry 54.8% 45.2% - โœ“
Margin 27.6% 72.4% +5.3 โœ— (10.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.8% 53.2% - โœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 35.5% 64.5% - โœ—
Log Adjusted 34.5% 65.5% - โœ—
Points Off/Def 39.0% 61.0% - โœ—

Actual: McNeese Cowboys -5 (52-57). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.

Samford Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Josh Davis 31 4-7 4-7 0-0 5 1 2 0 0 12 13 -
B. Friday 30 3-7 0-0 1-3 4 3 2 0 3 7 6 -
T. Montgomery 30 1-5 0-1 0-0 5 2 2 0 4 2 2 -
M. Friday 21 3-4 0-1 0-0 4 4 2 0 2 6 10 -
Andy King 19 4-8 3-6 3-3 2 2 1 0 1 14 10 -
J. Bedwell 18 5-8 4-7 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 14 6 -
G. Bermudez 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 2 0 0 2 0 -1 -
C. West 15 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 2 1 0 0 0 3 -
J. Griffin 12 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 0 0 2 2 2 -
Jeffrey Merritt 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

McNeese Cowboys

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C.J. Collins 30 1-3 1-2 0-1 1 3 0 0 1 3 3 -
D. Kapelan 29 5-16 4-12 0-0 3 1 3 0 1 14 4 -
J. Pichon 29 7-11 1-1 3-4 8 1 1 1 5 18 13 -
Kleon Penn 26 3-5 0-0 1-1 4 1 0 1 2 7 6 -
Elbryan Neal 20 1-5 0-0 2-4 9 0 0 0 1 4 7 -
S. Martin 20 1-5 1-5 0-0 1 2 2 0 1 3 2 -
Patrick Richard 13 0-4 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 0 2 1 -4 -
Jamarcus Little 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
Billy Cotton 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter