Model Predictions
| Model | George Mason Patriots | Dayton Flyers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 41.6% | 58.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.1% | 74.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 13.4% | 86.6% | +10.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
Actual: Dayton Flyers +4 (66-62). Predictions use season-end ratings.
George Mason Patriots
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Long | 37 | 6-13 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 3 | - |
| D. Smith | 33 | 7-16 | 4-10 | 4-4 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 22 | 16 | - |
| L. Birdsong | 30 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 8 | - |
| J. Vaughan | 28 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -1 | - |
| D. Monroe | 24 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - |
| R. Pearson | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 3 | - |
| A. Cornelius | 14 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| M. Morrison | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Fleming | 9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
Dayton Flyers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Johnson | 29 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 13 | 8 | - |
| K. Huelsman | 27 | 3-9 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 7 | - |
| C. Johnson | 25 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 13 | - |
| C. Wright | 21 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | - |
| R. Lowery | 21 | 4-7 | 1-3 | 4-5 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 13 | - |
| C. Little | 20 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | - |
| L. Warren | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| D. Searcy | 11 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | - |
| M. Perry | 11 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| P. Williams | 9 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Fabrizius | 6 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - |
| S. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | - |
* = starter