Model Predictions
| Model | Ball State Cardinals | Alabama Crimson Tide | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 24.8% | 75.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 18.9% | 81.1% | +8.0 | ✓ (2.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.4% | 48.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Alabama Crimson Tide +6 (81-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.