Model Predictions
| Model | Dartmouth Big Green | UC Davis Aggies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.3% | 74.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 16.6% | 83.4% | +8.9 | ✓ (22.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 14.7% | 85.3% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: UC Davis Aggies +31 (72-41). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Dartmouth Big Green
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Trotter | 30 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | - |
| A. Barnett | 28 | 6-10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 7 | - |
| D. Biber | 23 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -1 | - |
| K. Graeber | 18 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Riddle | 17 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | - |
| R. Pride | 16 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Sanders | 15 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
| D. Rufful | 13 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | - |
| R. Dixon | 13 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| C. Weeden | 12 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | - |
| K. Crecco | 7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Kouna | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| E. Fitzgerald | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
UC Davis Aggies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Payne | 27 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 7-8 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 20 | - |
| J. Harden | 25 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 6 | - |
| V. Oliver | 21 | 5-9 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 8 | - |
| K. Brucculeri | 20 | 3-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 3 | - |
| D. Carter | 20 | 2-8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 0 | - |
| D. Calegari | 18 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| T. Lowenthal | 18 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| A. Malik | 10 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| R. Silva | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| N. Clark | 10 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 7 | - |
| K. Toth | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| M. Boone | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 4 | - |
| D. Oestreicher | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter