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Pacific Tigers 70
@
Sacramento State Hornets 51
2008-12-30

Model Predictions

Model Pacific Tigers Sacramento State Hornets Spread Result
Elo 67.9% 32.1% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 65.5% 34.5% - ✓
Margin 62.9% 37.1% -2.9 ✓ (16.1 off)

Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -19 (51-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pacific Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
C. Troyer 32 9-13 4-6 1-1 2 0 0 0 0 23 12 -
S. Willard 30 2-7 0-0 1-2 11 2 2 0 0 5 13 -
M. Kirby 28 3-5 2-4 0-0 1 6 0 1 2 8 9 -
A. Brown 26 2-4 0-0 3-4 2 1 0 0 2 7 4 -
T. Smith 23 3-7 1-1 0-0 5 3 0 1 3 7 6 -
B. LeDuc 21 5-8 2-5 4-7 4 1 3 0 1 16 15 -
J. Ford 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 1 1 1 1 2 4 -
L. Neufville 12 1-3 0-0 0-0 3 2 3 1 0 2 8 -
J. Doran 8 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
C. Neimeyer 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
B. Hawkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Sacramento State Hornets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Eller 29 4-10 0-2 2-2 6 0 0 1 1 10 6 -
A. Flaggs 28 1-3 1-1 2-2 3 1 1 1 0 5 8 -
J. Malloy 27 0-3 0-0 0-0 1 2 0 0 3 0 -3 -
S. Calton 26 1-3 1-2 0-0 2 3 0 0 2 3 3 -
R. Adams 24 4-5 0-0 2-5 1 1 0 1 1 10 7 -
L. Leath 23 6-11 3-5 4-4 6 1 1 0 3 19 13 -
M. Edwards 15 2-4 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 1 2 4 2 -
J. Stigall 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -
A. Wilson 7 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
A. Ward 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 1 1 0 1 -
M. Selling 5 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
M. Marcial 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

* = starter