Model Predictions
| Model | Pacific Tigers | Sacramento State Hornets | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 92.9% | 7.1% | -18.9 | ✓ (0.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 89.3% | 10.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 95.0% | 5.0% | -16.2 | ✓ (2.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 80.4% | 19.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Sacramento State Hornets -19 (51-70). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Pacific Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Troyer | 32 | 9-13 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 23 | 12 | - |
| S. Willard | 30 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 13 | - |
| M. Kirby | 28 | 3-5 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Anthony Brown | 26 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Terrell Smith | 23 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| B. LeDuc | 21 | 5-8 | 2-5 | 4-7 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 15 | - |
| J. Ford | 15 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| L. Neufville | 12 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | - |
| J. Doran | 8 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Neimeyer | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| B. Hawkins | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Sacramento State Hornets
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Eller | 29 | 4-10 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 6 | - |
| A. Flaggs | 28 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | - |
| J. Malloy | 27 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | - |
| S. Calton | 26 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| R. Adams | 24 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| L. Leath | 23 | 6-11 | 3-5 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| M. Edwards | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| J. Stigall | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| A. Wilson | 7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| A. Ward | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Selling | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Marcial | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter