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2008-12-29

Model Predictions

Model UTSA Roadrunners SMU Mustangs Spread Result
Elo 3.7% 96.3% -
Bradley-Terry 17.5% 82.5% -
Margin 8.0% 92.0% +13.4 (18.4 off)

Actual: SMU Mustangs -5 (75-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.

UTSA Roadrunners

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
O. Johnson 32 3-11 1-5 2-2 4 6 0 0 3 9 5 -
T. Gabbidon 30 6-9 1-2 5-6 7 0 1 0 4 18 13 -
D. Gibson 28 5-10 1-2 3-4 5 4 3 0 2 14 14 -
C. Allen 21 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 2 2 1 3 2 3 -
M. Smith IV 21 5-11 4-7 1-2 2 1 1 0 0 15 8 -
D. Stepter 20 4-5 1-1 1-2 10 0 0 1 0 10 16 -
J. Shank 19 1-5 1-4 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 3 0 -
J. Bonney 15 1-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
T. Fields 11 2-2 2-2 1-2 1 0 0 0 1 7 5 -
R. Frohlich 3 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 1 -

SMU Mustangs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P. McCoy 36 7-14 0-0 5-8 6 1 1 0 1 19 12 -
D. Williams 35 6-10 1-3 4-7 3 2 0 1 4 17 9 -
B. Fall 26 4-7 0-0 3-4 8 0 1 5 1 11 17 -
F. Otis 19 3-4 0-0 2-3 5 0 1 0 1 8 9 -
R. Harp 18 1-3 0-0 2-2 0 2 1 0 0 4 4 -
M. Walker 13 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -
R. Nyakundi 13 1-4 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 0 2 1 -
A. Malone 12 2-6 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 0 4 -1 -
M. Faye 10 2-6 0-2 1-1 5 0 0 2 2 5 4 -
J. Haynes 9 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 1 0 1 0 0 -
P. Dia 9 2-4 0-0 1-1 2 0 0 0 1 5 2 -

* = starter