Model Predictions
| Model | Portland State Vikings | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 14.3% | 85.7% | +12.3 | ✓ (0.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 29.6% | 70.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 10.0% | 90.0% | +12.1 | ✓ (0.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.2% | 52.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 7.5% | 92.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 7.3% | 92.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +13 (79-66). Ratings: 2008-09 season-end ratings.
Portland State Vikings
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Coston | 33 | 2-8 | 1-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 7 | - |
| P. Nelson | 32 | 6-11 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 11 | - |
| J. Dominguez | 30 | 1-9 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -2 | - |
| Jamie Jones | 27 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 12 | 16 | - |
| Dominic Waters | 26 | 6-11 | 3-6 | 3-4 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 11 | - |
| A. Murray | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Julius Thomas | 14 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - |
| W. Wright | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| T. Mara | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Polis | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Curtis Jerrells | 37 | 6-8 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 20 | - |
| K. Rogers | 36 | 6-13 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 9 | - |
| T. Carter | 32 | 2-7 | 0-4 | 2-3 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - |
| H. Dugat | 29 | 4-13 | 1-4 | 2-4 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 8 | - |
| L. Dunn | 29 | 8-11 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 15 | - |
| Quincy Acy | 22 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 6 | - |
| F. Ellis | 9 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Diene | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter