Model Predictions
| Model | Niagara Purple Eagles | Murray State Racers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.5% | 33.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 61.4% | 38.6% | -2.6 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.5% | 48.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 76.9% | 23.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 55.4% | 44.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Murray State Racers -9 (71-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lewis | 37 | 6-15 | 5-13 | 4-6 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 12 | - |
| B. Egemonye | 35 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 16-18 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 31 | - |
| R. Garrison | 33 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 4 | - |
| B. Benn | 30 | 7-13 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 13 | - |
| A. Nelson | 30 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 3-5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | - |
| D. Williamson | 22 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | - |
| A. Cooley | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Edwards | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -2 | - |
Murray State Racers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Thomas | 36 | 6-12 | 3-7 | 3-5 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 12 | - |
| K. Thomas | 34 | 4-9 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 11 | 8 | - |
| T. Easley | 25 | 6-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | - |
| T. Holloway | 23 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| D. Poole | 20 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| I. Miles | 19 | 2-6 | 0-4 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | - |
| J. McClain | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | - |
| I. Aska | 17 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 6 | - |
| G. Fotso | 7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter