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2008-12-28

Model Predictions

Model Drake Bulldogs Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 62.9% 37.1% -
Bradley-Terry 60.7% 39.3% -
Margin 64.7% 35.3% -3.3 (14.3 off)
Pythagorean 53.1% 46.9% -
Efficiency 95.6% 4.4% -
Adjusted Efficiency 50.6% 49.4% -
Log Adjusted 50.9% 49.1% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +11 (76-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Drake Bulldogs

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Young 36 7-16 2-6 8-9 4 2 3 0 1 24 16 -
J. Cox 34 3-11 1-6 5-5 8 1 3 1 3 12 11 -
C. Stanley 33 0-3 0-1 1-2 0 2 1 0 4 1 -3 -
J. Parker 28 5-11 2-6 3-4 3 3 0 0 1 15 9 -
B. Heemskerk 27 3-7 1-4 1-2 5 1 1 0 0 8 8 -
A. Templeton 15 1-6 1-2 0-0 5 1 0 0 2 3 1 -
A. White 13 1-3 0-0 0-2 4 0 1 0 1 2 3 -
J. Baryenbruch 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
B. Eaddy 6 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Holsinger 38 5-6 3-4 3-3 5 2 0 0 2 16 15 -
N. Garner 38 5-13 0-0 5-6 6 2 0 1 4 15 7 -
S. Ely 36 5-10 0-0 6-8 12 1 0 0 3 16 16 -
K. Williams 32 1-7 0-1 2-4 5 13 1 0 4 4 12 -
K. Lacey 22 7-8 0-0 0-0 4 3 1 0 2 14 12 -
J. Haarsma 21 3-7 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 2 7 3 -
P. van Tongeren 8 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
C. Hopf 3 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 2 1 -
D. Holmes 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
Z. House 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
D. Granger 0 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter